TOP Oss vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
44.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
BOS
4 - 0
FCO
61%
22%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2005 |
FCO
2 - 1
EIN
44%
23%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
BVV
0 - 0
FCO
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
FCO
1 - 2
FCD
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
WES
1 - 1
FCO
25%
22%
53%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 1
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2005 |
HEL
3 - 3
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
EXC
3 - 0
FCE
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
BVO
0 - 1
EXC
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
SCN
1 - 4
EXC
12%
18%
70%
|
65 | 31 | 34 | +1 |