Bundesliga Round 17

Nürnberg vs FC St Pauli analysis

Nürnberg FC St Pauli
76 ELO 71
-3.9% Tilt -5.5%
620º General ELO ranking 114º
38º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
54.7%
Nürnberg
23%
Draw
22.3%
FC St Pauli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
Nürnberg
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.3%
Win probability
FC St Pauli
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nürnberg
-1%
-1%
FC St Pauli

ELO progression

Nürnberg
FC St Pauli
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nürnberg
Nürnberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2001
LEV
B. Leverkusen
4 - 2
Nürnberg
FCN
76%
15%
9%
76 90 14 0
01 Dec. 2001
FCN
Nürnberg
0 - 3
Schalke 04
S04
30%
27%
43%
77 87 10 -1
24 Nov. 2001
BYM
Bayern München
0 - 0
Nürnberg
FCN
77%
15%
8%
76 93 17 +1
18 Nov. 2001
FCN
Nürnberg
2 - 0
Hansa Rostock
ROS
36%
26%
38%
76 81 5 0
03 Nov. 2001
WOL
Wolfsburg
5 - 0
Nürnberg
FCN
67%
20%
13%
76 84 8 0

Matches

FC St Pauli
FC St Pauli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2001
STP
FC St Pauli
0 - 3
Werder Bremen
BRE
19%
23%
58%
71 86 15 0
02 Dec. 2001
HSV
Hamburger SV
4 - 3
FC St Pauli
STP
65%
20%
15%
72 83 11 -1
24 Nov. 2001
STP
FC St Pauli
1 - 2
Köln
KOL
30%
25%
45%
72 79 7 0
17 Nov. 2001
KAI
Kaiserslautern
5 - 1
FC St Pauli
STP
72%
17%
11%
73 86 13 -1
03 Nov. 2001
STP
FC St Pauli
0 - 3
1860 München
MUN
26%
24%
51%
73 81 8 0