Nürnberg vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
DAR
3 - 4
FCN
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FCN
1 - 2
ARB
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SGF
1 - 3
FCN
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
FCN
3 - 1
BOC
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MSV
1 - 6
FCN
34%
27%
40%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SGD
2 - 2
ING
42%
27%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
HEI
0 - 2
SGD
38%
26%
37%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
DAR
3 - 3
SGD
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
SGD
0 - 2
ARB
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SSV
0 - 2
SGD
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |