Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
52.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
16º
12º
60
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
63 | 67 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
2º
|
61% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
99.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
86% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 52 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 51 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
41% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 39 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
52% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
15º
|
44.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
16º
|
76.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
92% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 26 |
18º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
KSC
4 - 1
FCN
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
STU
2 - 0
FCN
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 3
FCN
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 2
S04
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
FCN
3 - 2
ROS
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
F95
5 - 3
S04
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SGF
1 - 0
F95
26%
24%
50%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
F95
1 - 3
WEH
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
UNT
3 - 6
F95
15%
19%
67%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
EBT
1 - 4
F95
14%
22%
65%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |