Nürnberg vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
RTV
0 - 0
FCN
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
FCN
1 - 1
BYM
11%
19%
70%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
MON
2 - 1
FCN
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
FCN
1 - 2
STU
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
HAN
1 - 3
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
LEV
0 - 0
KOL
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 2
LEV
57%
22%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LEV
2 - 1
WOL
53%
23%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
RTV
1 - 1
LEV
28%
24%
48%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LEV
3 - 1
SCF
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |