FC Monthey vs Sierre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+162%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
5º
1º
10
10º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 63 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 59 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 54 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 53 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 37 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 37 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 39 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 28 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 29 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 28 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 24 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 13 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 6 |
14º
|
19% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 43% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 57% | 66% |
| Relegation | 0% | 34% |
ELO progression
FCM
SIE
MAR
THU
LAU
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Monthey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO FCM | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
COL
1 - 4
FCM
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
FCM
2 - 1
VEY
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
GEN
2 - 4
FCM
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 55 | -16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FCM
1 - 0
FCS
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
SBC
0 - 7
FCM
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 51 | -19 | +1 |
Matches
Sierre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO SIE | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
SIE
4 - 1
FCR
45%
27%
28%
|
35 | 120 | -85 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
SER
6 - 0
SIE
47%
27%
26%
|
35 | 86 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
SIE
5 - 3
SBC
46%
27%
27%
|
35 | 49 | -14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SIE
2 - 1
FCF
45%
27%
28%
|
35 | 65 | -30 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
7 - 2
SIE
46%
27%
27%
|
35 | 112 | 77 | -1 |