Minai vs Zorya Luhansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
69.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
14º
16º
15º
32
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
MIN
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
SKD
12%
21%
68%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 3
LNZ
32%
30%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
DYN
4 - 1
MIN
78%
16%
6%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
MIN
2 - 0
MET
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
SLP
2 - 0
ZOR
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
ZOR
0 - 0
PFC
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VOR
1 - 2
ZOR
25%
25%
51%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ZOR
1 - 3
HKR
78%
15%
6%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
RYV
2 - 1
ZOR
16%
22%
62%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |