Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Oleksandriya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
50.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
13º
12º
44
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
KOL
3 - 0
MET
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MET
0 - 3
SKD
17%
24%
59%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
CHA
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VOR
0 - 0
MET
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 1
MET
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Oleksandriya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 1
CHO
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PFC
3 - 0
VOR
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
MET
0 - 0
PFC
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
PFC
14%
24%
62%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PFC
2 - 2
SKD
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |