Ingolstadt 04 vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2006 |
ING
3 - 1
QUF
81%
14%
6%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
BAD
2 - 2
ING
34%
26%
41%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
ING
3 - 1
WUR
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
WAC
0 - 2
ING
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
ING
2 - 1
FUR
71%
19%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
SAA
2 - 0
EBT
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
MUN
1 - 0
SAA
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2006 |
SAA
0 - 4
OFC
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
SGD
2 - 0
SAA
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
SAA
1 - 0
SGF
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |