Ingolstadt 04 vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
ING
0 - 3
KOL
29%
27%
45%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 1
ING
43%
27%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SVS
3 - 1
ING
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
ING
0 - 1
EBT
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
SSV
1 - 2
ING
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
SVS
0 - 1
ERZ
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 1
ING
43%
27%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
HER
3 - 2
ERZ
70%
19%
10%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 0
MSV
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
EBT
1 - 1
ERZ
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |