FC Kryvbas vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
73.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
6º
16º
7º
72
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kryvbas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
HKR
1 - 0
KOL
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
HKR
0 - 0
KAS
37%
24%
38%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
HKR
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HKR
1 - 2
PET
24%
24%
53%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
HKR
2 - 1
NEF
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 1
FEY
30%
23%
47%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MET
0 - 7
SHA
12%
19%
69%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 4
SHA
8%
18%
74%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
REN
2 - 1
SHA
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 1
REN
40%
24%
36%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |