Groningen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
GRO
1 - 2
VVV
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1987 |
VOL
1 - 1
GRO
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1987 |
GRO
1 - 2
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1987 |
GRO
0 - 1
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
BVV
2 - 3
GRO
34%
27%
38%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
WIL
2 - 2
HFC
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
ZWO
1 - 4
WIL
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1987 |
BOS
3 - 1
WIL
59%
25%
16%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1987 |
WIL
2 - 3
FEY
7%
19%
75%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
HFC
2 - 0
WIL
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |