Groningen vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
FEY
0 - 0
GRO
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 0
NEC
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ADO
0 - 1
GRO
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 2
GRO
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
NEC
30%
29%
42%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 2
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
RJC
3 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
HER
1 - 2
TWE
21%
26%
53%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ADO
2 - 2
HER
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |