Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
FCD
1 - 0
GRO
26%
25%
50%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
GRO
4 - 1
ALK
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
JON
0 - 1
GRO
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 2
GRO
44%
23%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
RTV
2 - 1
GRO
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 3
SCH
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VOL
0 - 1
FOR
40%
25%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 0
FOR
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 2
FOR
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 2
SPA
31%
27%
43%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |