Groningen vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2007 |
UTR
0 - 2
GRO
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
FEY
1 - 1
GRO
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2007 |
GRO
2 - 1
FEY
24%
22%
53%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
GRO
0 - 2
UTR
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
ADO
1 - 3
GRO
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2007 |
UTR
0 - 2
GRO
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
RJC
1 - 1
UTR
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
UTR
0 - 0
RJC
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
GRO
0 - 2
UTR
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
UTR
1 - 1
PSV
23%
26%
52%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |