Groningen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
PSV
2 - 0
GRO
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
GRO
1 - 1
TWE
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
GRO
0 - 3
PSV
29%
23%
49%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 1
RJC
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
GRO
0 - 3
SOU
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 2
AZA
25%
24%
52%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 0
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
GAE
0 - 2
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
FCO
1 - 1
EXC
28%
24%
49%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 4
AZA
28%
25%
48%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |