Groningen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
HEL
2 - 3
GRO
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
ADO
0 - 2
GRO
43%
25%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
GAE
1 - 0
GRO
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
GRO
4 - 0
EXC
64%
20%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1999 |
VOL
2 - 0
GRO
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
GAE
1 - 2
EXC
62%
20%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
TEL
2 - 0
EXC
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1999 |
EXC
7 - 1
VVV
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
GRO
4 - 0
EXC
64%
20%
15%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1999 |
EXC
1 - 2
FCD
66%
19%
14%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |