Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GRO
0 - 1
PSV
16%
20%
64%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
WIL
3 - 1
GRO
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
GRO
0 - 1
VVV
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 2
GRO
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
GRO
1 - 0
VIT
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AZA
4 - 0
ADO
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AJA
0 - 2
AZA
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
LAS
2 - 0
AZA
50%
23%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
AZA
2 - 0
ZWO
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 1
LAS
36%
25%
40%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |