Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
GAE
2 - 2
GRO
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
GRO
1 - 5
AJA
27%
23%
51%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
GRO
1 - 1
BOS
70%
17%
12%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
VOL
2 - 1
GRO
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
SPA
3 - 2
GRO
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
AZA
4 - 4
HFC
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
FEY
5 - 2
AZA
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
AZA
2 - 0
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
UTR
1 - 7
AZA
35%
24%
41%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
FCD
0 - 2
AZA
11%
21%
67%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |