Groningen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
61.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
PSV
1 - 0
GRO
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
GRO
1 - 2
VIT
27%
26%
48%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 0
GRO
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
GRO
2 - 0
GRA
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
SCH
2 - 0
GRO
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 2
AJA
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
AJA
3 - 1
UTR
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
46%
22%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
UTR
2 - 3
AJA
36%
24%
40%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
NEC
0 - 2
AJA
22%
25%
54%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |