Eredivisie Round 1

Groningen vs Ajax analysis

Groningen Ajax
67 ELO 89
1.4% Tilt -8.8%
365º General ELO ranking 104º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
16.9%
Groningen
26.8%
Draw
56.3%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
Groningen
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
56.3%
Win probability
Ajax
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Groningen
-2%
+4%
Ajax

ELO progression

Groningen
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Groningen
Groningen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 1973
GRO
Groningen
1 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles
GAE
44%
28%
28%
68 76 8 0
13 May. 1973
AMS
FC Amsterdam
0 - 1
Groningen
GRO
70%
19%
11%
67 76 9 +1
06 May. 1973
GRO
Groningen
4 - 1
HFC Haarlem
HFC
60%
23%
18%
66 66 0 +1
29 Apr. 1973
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1
Groningen
GRO
53%
27%
20%
66 64 2 0
23 Apr. 1973
GRO
Groningen
1 - 4
MVV Maastricht
MVV
42%
29%
29%
67 75 8 -1

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 May. 1973
AJA
Ajax
1 - 0
Juventus
JUV
80%
12%
9%
89 89 0 0
19 May. 1973
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
91%
7%
2%
88 63 25 +1
13 May. 1973
MVV
MVV Maastricht
1 - 0
Ajax
AJA
20%
28%
53%
88 76 12 0
06 May. 1973
AJA
Ajax
4 - 2
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
71%
16%
12%
88 87 1 0
29 Apr. 1973
EXC
Excelsior
0 - 1
Ajax
AJA
8%
16%
76%
88 60 28 0