Erzgebirge Aue vs Jahn Regensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
PAD
3 - 3
ERZ
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
F95
3 - 1
ERZ
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
ERZ
2 - 3
HOL
18%
22%
59%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SVS
2 - 0
ERZ
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ERZ
0 - 5
S04
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SSV
0 - 0
F95
31%
24%
45%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
FCN
2 - 0
SSV
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SSV
2 - 3
STP
31%
25%
45%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
S04
2 - 1
SSV
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
AUG
3 - 3
SSV
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |