Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
RTV
2 - 1
ERZ
54%
24%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ERZ
1 - 3
MSV
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ARB
2 - 0
ERZ
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ERZ
2 - 1
STP
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
SSV
1 - 3
ERZ
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SGD
1 - 2
F95
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
KAI
0 - 1
SGD
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SGD
0 - 4
HOL
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
EBT
1 - 1
SGD
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SGD
1 - 1
FCN
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -2 |