Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ERZ
3 - 0
ROS
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2007 |
UNT
1 - 1
ERZ
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2006 |
MUN
4 - 0
ERZ
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
ERZ
4 - 1
TUS
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
KSC
0 - 1
ERZ
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
MSV
4 - 2
UNT
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
TUS
1 - 1
MSV
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
HAN
1 - 0
MSV
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ROT
1 - 2
MSV
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
MSV
1 - 1
PAD
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |