Erzgebirge Aue vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SVS
2 - 0
ERZ
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ERZ
0 - 5
S04
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
STP
2 - 2
ERZ
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
SGD
5 - 0
ERZ
51%
23%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ERZ
1 - 3
FCN
25%
25%
51%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 0
F95
41%
25%
35%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SSV
1 - 2
HOL
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
S04
1 - 1
HOL
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
HOL
3 - 2
OSN
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2022 |
HOL
5 - 0
HAV
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |