Erzgebirge Aue vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
OSN
0 - 0
ERZ
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ERZ
1 - 2
HOL
28%
25%
48%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
STU
3 - 0
ERZ
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
ERZ
0 - 0
ARB
25%
24%
51%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
WEH
1 - 0
ERZ
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HSV
0 - 2
STP
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
HAN
1 - 1
HSV
26%
25%
50%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
HSV
2 - 0
KSC
64%
22%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
RTV
1 - 3
HSV
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
HSV
4 - 1
FCN
50%
24%
25%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |