Erzgebirge Aue vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
SGD
0 - 1
ERZ
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
ERZ
2 - 0
BAB
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
WER
2 - 3
ERZ
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ERZ
1 - 2
PAD
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
KFC
2 - 0
ERZ
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 3
BOR
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
DRE
1 - 2
CHE
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
CHE
3 - 1
HOL
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
HAM
0 - 0
CHE
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 4
VER
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |