Erzgebirge Aue vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ERZ
2 - 2
DAR
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SGF
0 - 5
ERZ
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
ERZ
1 - 1
SSV
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
RTV
2 - 1
ERZ
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
ERZ
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
FCU
2 - 0
RTV
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MAG
1 - 1
FCU
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FCU
3 - 1
DAR
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
HSV
2 - 2
FCU
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
FCU
4 - 0
SGF
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |