Erzgebirge Aue vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
48.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
AAA
1 - 0
ERZ
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2008 |
ERZ
0 - 0
KAI
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
AUG
1 - 1
ERZ
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
ERZ
3 - 3
M05
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
ERZ
2 - 2
SCF
29%
28%
44%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2008 |
KOL
2 - 0
OSN
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2008 |
PAD
2 - 2
KOL
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2008 |
KOL
1 - 1
MON
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
OFC
1 - 3
KOL
27%
24%
48%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
KOL
2 - 1
WEH
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |