Den Bosch vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
HEL
2 - 0
BOS
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
BOS
2 - 4
FCD
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
BOS
1 - 2
SPA
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
FCO
2 - 1
BOS
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
BOS
0 - 0
FCD
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 0
FOR
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
TEL
1 - 0
EXC
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 0
FCE
68%
19%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
12%
20%
69%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +1 |