Den Bosch vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
VOL
1 - 1
BOS
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
RBC
0 - 1
BOS
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
BOS
1 - 2
FCD
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
FCE
0 - 1
BOS
40%
26%
35%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
HEL
3 - 0
BOS
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 2
TEL
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 0
HEL
55%
23%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
BVV
1 - 2
EXC
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
FCO
1 - 1
EXC
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 5
RKC
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |