Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda. Final
Global 3-3
FC Daugava vs Sūduva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
FCD
3 - 0
VEN
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SUD
0 - 1
FCD
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
GUL
0 - 2
FCD
26%
25%
50%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
FCD
2 - 0
FCJ
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2012 |
LIE
2 - 0
FCD
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SUD
0 - 1
FCD
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SUD
2 - 3
FKE
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
SUD
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2012 |
SUD
3 - 1
BAN
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
SUD
0 - 1
KRU
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |