Crotone vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
CRO
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 0
BAR
51%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
REG
1 - 4
CRO
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CRO
2 - 0
CTT
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MOD
2 - 0
CRO
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
TER
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TER
1 - 1
VIR
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
JUS
2 - 3
TER
39%
29%
33%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TER
2 - 0
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 2
TER
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |