Crotone vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ASC
0 - 1
CRO
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CRO
3 - 0
LIV
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
CRO
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
CRO
4 - 0
SAL
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 2
CRO
31%
28%
40%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 1
VIR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 3
BRE
45%
27%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
COM
1 - 3
BRE
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 2
MOD
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ASC
0 - 0
BRE
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |