Crotone vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2006 |
ABN
3 - 2
CRO
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
CRO
3 - 1
USC
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 0
CRO
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
CRO
4 - 2
TRI
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
RIM
1 - 0
CRO
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 1
TOR
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
TER
2 - 2
BRE
24%
27%
49%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 3
VIC
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 0
BRE
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
BRE
3 - 2
CES
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |