Crotone vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 0
CRO
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 1
VNZ
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
BOL
3 - 0
CRO
49%
24%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
USC
1 - 0
CRO
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
CRO
0 - 1
NUO
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 1
PAL
25%
27%
48%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
PRG
1 - 1
SPE
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SPE
4 - 0
NUO
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ASC
3 - 1
SPE
47%
28%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SPE
0 - 0
USF
30%
26%
45%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |