Crotone vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
REG
1 - 4
CRO
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CRO
2 - 0
CTT
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MOD
2 - 0
CRO
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 0
BRE
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SPE
3 - 1
CRO
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
AVE
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
VIR
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 1
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
PES
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MOD
4 - 0
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |