Crotone vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
PRG
2 - 1
CRO
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
CRO
4 - 0
BAR
43%
25%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CRO
0 - 1
MES
33%
27%
41%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 1
CRO
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CRO
3 - 0
SSS
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
CES
1 - 0
TRI
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
ASC
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 2
CES
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
LIV
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PAD
3 - 0
CES
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |