Catanzaro vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 0
FON
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
SIC
1 - 2
FCC
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SIR
2 - 1
FCC
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
FCC
2 - 1
NUO
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 0
FCC
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
LEC
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
PAG
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SIC
0 - 3
PAG
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 0
JUS
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 2
FON
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |