Castiglione vs Olginatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PSM
0 - 5
FCC
53%
22%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 0
PRO
33%
26%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FCC
3 - 4
ASD
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PER
2 - 4
FCC
53%
26%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FCC
2 - 3
DEL
28%
27%
45%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
OLG
0 - 2
SER
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
OLG
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 1
OLG
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BOR
1 - 1
OLG
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
OLG
4 - 0
SER
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |