FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Eilenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
6º
5º
5
4º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
10 | 74 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 72 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 69 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 67 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
4º
|
16 | 64 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 60 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 48 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 47 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 43 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 41 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 40 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 36 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 35 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 32 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 31 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
|
15º
|
5 | 26 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 21 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 54% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 46% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2025 |
CHL
0 - 2
CZJ
11%
17%
72%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2025 |
CZJ
4 - 0
HZE
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
ZWI
0 - 0
CZJ
30%
24%
47%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
ALT
2 - 1
CZJ
36%
24%
41%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
CZJ
1 - 0
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Eilenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2025 |
EIL
0 - 1
LOK
14%
23%
63%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2025 |
MEU
1 - 1
EIL
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
EIL
0 - 2
ALT
18%
23%
59%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
HER
5 - 2
EIL
53%
24%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
EIL
3 - 0
ZWI
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +2 |