Bayern München II vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
BAY
0 - 5
SSV
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SVS
4 - 2
BAY
51%
24%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
BAY
0 - 0
WEH
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
STU
2 - 4
BAY
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAY
3 - 1
WUP
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ERZ
3 - 1
SVS
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
WEH
2 - 0
ERZ
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ERZ
1 - 0
STU
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
WUP
0 - 2
ERZ
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ERZ
0 - 1
HEI
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |