Atlas Guadalajara vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ATS
2 - 0
NOB
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
ATS
0 - 3
NEC
38%
25%
36%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ATS
0 - 0
TIJ
35%
27%
39%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 3
ATS
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 1
LEO
25%
24%
50%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 1
SAO
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
56%
23%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AME
0 - 1
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |