Ario vs Pars Jonubi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
59.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+130%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 0
FCA
70%
19%
10%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
CHA
14%
22%
64%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 1
FCA
77%
17%
7%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
SNO
2 - 0
FCA
74%
15%
10%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 3
AAK
9%
21%
71%
|
26 | 68 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Pars Jonubi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 3
MSB
43%
30%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
EMO
2 - 0
PAR
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
AST
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
KFM
1 - 3
PAR
37%
28%
36%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
AKF
25%
30%
46%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |