Alberes Argelès vs Béziers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
69.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
9º
8º
57
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberes Argelès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
FCA
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 1
SAM
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 4
BLA
65%
19%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
OLY
2 - 1
FCA
60%
23%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 0
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Béziers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BEZ
1 - 0
TOU
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
BEZ
7%
18%
76%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BEZ
3 - 1
ANG
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CRF
4 - 1
BEZ
23%
27%
50%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BEZ
4 - 2
NAN
73%
17%
9%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |