Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
GCZ
2 - 0
FCA
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
STG
2 - 2
FCA
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCL
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
81%
14%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
FCA
6 - 3
BEL
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCL
61%
22%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
YOB
2 - 1
ZUR
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SIO
1 - 1
ZUR
28%
25%
47%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ZUR
0 - 0
NEX
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
ZUR
1 - 1
ACM
18%
21%
62%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |