Aarau vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCA
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
KSC
1 - 1
FCA
50%
23%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FCA
2 - 2
FCV
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
STA
0 - 2
FCA
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 0
FCA
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 2
KRI
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 1
GCZ
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 1
WIN
22%
23%
55%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 0
THU
27%
23%
50%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
WIN
2 - 1
CHI
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |