Aarau vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
STA
2 - 5
FCA
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 1
NEX
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FCA
9 - 0
BEL
66%
18%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 4
FCA
5%
11%
83%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 1
UTA
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
THU
3 - 4
LUG
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
THU
3 - 0
WIL
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 3
THU
19%
20%
62%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
YOB
6 - 1
THU
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
THU
2 - 2
SCH
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |