Aarau vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
7º
4º
60
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
NEX
0 - 0
FCA
20%
22%
58%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 0
BEL
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 2
FCA
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
YVE
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
LAU
4 - 1
FCA
42%
24%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
STA
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
STA
0 - 4
SCH
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
THU
1 - 1
STA
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
STA
3 - 4
WIL
40%
25%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
YVE
1 - 0
STA
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |