Aarau vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
42%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCA
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1992 |
SIO
0 - 0
FCA
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1992 |
FCA
3 - 2
STG
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1992 |
FCA
1 - 0
BUL
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
FCA
0 - 1
GCZ
33%
28%
38%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
SER
0 - 0
LUG
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1992 |
YOB
1 - 2
SER
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1992 |
SER
3 - 0
GCZ
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1992 |
STG
1 - 1
SER
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
SER
1 - 1
SIO
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |